actio-et-reactio: for every action there is a reaction. In the background is a sketch by Leonardo da Vinci-teeter-totter- a symbol of how tenuous is the balance between extremes

actio-et-reactio

Balance is but a brief transition between extremes.

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Wednesday, October 22, 2003

Something VERY Basic about Median Lines

One place where people "new" to technical analysis get stuck is in half or fully blindly throwing indicators on a graph and then trying to figure out what it means.

Mind you, everyone has been there, including myself, and it is from getting OUT of that rut that I've learned, and from where I speak.

So some BASIC basics about median lines, Andrews pitchforks, action-reaction lines, or as I much prefer to call them, for a very important reason: BISECTS.

Bisect: to divide in half. Half is above, and half is below.

I included action-reaction because it is fundamental to the idea of BISECT. It is also why I call this site actio-et-reactio -- it is Newton's first law, that for every action there is a reaction.

When you draw a pitchfork, a BISECT, you are drawing a 50-50 (half above-half below) probability line:

When you consciously remind yourself of these fundamentals everytime you draw a "fork"-- a BISECT, you will begin to "see" why one might choose the mid-point of a prior move as an origination pivot-- it is the point where half the prior profits (or losses) sits. Hopefully, other things will begin to "pop out" at you the more you realize median lines represent probabilities, at times 50-50, but often 80-20 (confluences, retests, gap throughs, etc).

A swing moves up and down from the balance point. The only time price just sits there is when there is the balance on both sides is equal, but that may be only at one level. Even in congestion, price is moving THROUGH the balance point to the extremes, searching for a new balance point. The bisect (median line) is the balance point, the upper and lower MLs are the extremes.

You must THINK balance, BISECT when ever you draw your lines. When you see a fork that appears to be "containing" price well, even with an "odd" origination pivot... don't get all prudish and academic and think that's not a "correct" pivot. Step back from the chart (go one step higher in time frame) and see how that pivot relates as a possible balance point in the larger context.

When in doubt, keep it simple and basic.

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posted by Ana Maria @ 12:55 PM :: permalink




moon phases
 

At last, over the rim
of the waiting earth
the moon lifted with
slow majesty
till it swung clear of the horizon and rode off,
free of moorings
- Kenneth Grahame,
The Wind in the Willows

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